Raiders Stats and Storylines: Week 2 Edition

Two weeks into the season, the Raiders are 2-0 and the storylines are appropriately rosy. Let’s take a look at some of the Week 2 stats behind these emerging storylines.

Raiders Bucking Trends and Setting Them

  • Per @LordReebs, going into Week 2, the Steelers had a 69.2% winning percentage under Mike Tomlin when they had a rest advantage over their opponent, yet the Raiders prevailed.
  • The Raiders opened 2-0, by beating playoff teams from the previous season, for the first time in franchise history during the Super Bowl era, according to ESPN Stats & Info. 

Fourth-Down Decisions Give Raiders Edge

  • Mike Tomlin’s decision to punt on 4th and 1, down 9 with 8:36 left in the game, cost the Steelers nearly 4% of win probability according to Ben Baldwin’s 4th-down decision bot. 
  • Meanwhile, facing his own 4th and 1, Jon Gruden went for it, with the choice alone increasing the Raiders win probability by 2.8% and the conversion increasing it by 7%.

Derek Carr’s Hot Start Gets Hotter

  • Derek Carr finished Week 2 with the NFL’s highest QBR (78.9), EPA (9.4) and second-most passing yards (382).
  • Derek Carr’s had a Week 2 PFF grade of 99.9 on throws longer than 20 yards, which ranked first in Week 2.
  • Derek Carr’s 5 big-time throws were also the most in Week 2, according to PFF.
  • After two weeks, Derek Carr’s average depth of target of 9.5 yards is a full yard higher than any season of his career.
  • Carr’s touchdown pass to Henry Ruggs traveled 46 yards in the air, tying for the longest of Derek Carr’s career, according to ESPN Stats & Info. 
  • Derek Carr’s MVP odds have risen dramatically from preseason odds of +6600 to post-week-2 odds of +2500, placing him among the top ten candidates.
  • It’s a small sample size, and likely unsustainable, but Derek Carr is on pace to shatter Rich Gannon’s Raider single-season passing record by over 2,000 yards.
  • One sore spot remains for Carr: his two fumbles were the most in Week 2 and his 3 for the season lead the NFL. If that holds, he’d be the first player in NFL history to do so 3 out of 4 years.

Non-Waller Receiving Options Step Up

  • Darren Waller had an average separation of 1.7 yards, which was the seventh-lowest average in Week 2, per Next Gen Stats, so it was important that Carr’s other options rose to the occasion.
  • Rise to the occasion they did, as Carr spread the ball around, targeting nine different players, completing passes to eight.
  • On his sixty-one-yard touchdown reception, Henry Ruggs reached 21.42 mph, which is the third-fastest speed in the NFL this season.
  • Per Next Gen Stats, the Carr-to-Ruggs 61-yard touchdown pass had a completion probability of 21.6%, making it the eleventh most improbable touchdown pass of the season thus far.
  • The Steelers gave Henry Ruggs an average cushion of 7.7 yards, which was the tenth-most in Week 2.
  • Henry Ruggs’ 10.3 yards-after-catch per-reception was the fifth highest in Week 2, according to Next Gen Stats.
  • Hunter Renfrow’s PFF receiving grade of 84.1 ranks seventh among Week 2 wide receivers. 
  • After two weeks, Hunter Renfrow has forced four missed tackles, which is tied for second among WRs in the NFL.

Run Game Struggles

Raiders Winning Despite Offensive Line

Pass Rush Continues to Impress

  • The Raiders pressured Ben Roethlisberger on 31.0% of his dropbacks, with Maxx Crosby and Yannick Ngakoue both generating 5+ pressures for the 2nd consecutive game, per Next Gen Stats
  • After two sacks against the Steelers, former third-overall pick Solomon Thomas is one sack away from tying his career-high season-long sack total of three. 
  • Through two weeks, Maxx Crosby has the most pressures in the NFL, with 19.

Secondary Also Impresses

Looking Ahead

  • The Raiders opened as 5.5 favorites over the Dolphins — a large swing from the preseason line, which had the Dolphins favored by 1.

Twitter: @TravisGilkeson


1 thought on “Raiders Stats and Storylines: Week 2 Edition

  1. I love how #RaiderNation has been dogs in every game this season, and still blew away the competition.

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