Week 7: Eagles at Raiders Wagers and Predictions

The Raiders rebounded nicely in Week 6 and so did this column, going 3-1 on recommended wagers. Now’s not the time, however, for either the Raiders or this column to rest on laurels.

Instead, the Raiders need to take advantage of a winnable game. And their Week 7 contest is just that. In fact, their game against the Eagles is not only winnable, it’s one of the most winnable games remaining on a difficult Raiders schedule.

Despite that fact — and the disparity in their records — the Raiders are only minor favorites over the Eagles. Even more surprising, though, is which side the majority of the cash is backing.

Point Spread: Eagles at Raiders (-2.5)

The cash is heavily on the Eagles at 71%. But betting on a 2-4 team on the road seems unwise, especially when the projections don’t favor it, which is the case here.

PFF Greenline believes the point spread should be Eagles +3.5. That full-point discrepancy — coupled with the spread being below the key number of 3 — make the Raiders a value at 2.5.

The Raiders have often struggled winning games they’re supposed to, but they should be favored by more than 2.5.

Wager: 1 Unit

Point Total: Over/Under 48.5

Unlike above, we’re on board with the public on this bet, as 72% of the cash is the over and so are we.

Both teams pass, a lot. Which leads to high totals. For example, last week, the total in the Raiders game was 58 and the total in the Eagles game was 50.

The guess here is that their Week 7 matchup follows suit and the final score lands in the fifties.

Wager: 1 Unit

Player Props

Bryan Edwards Under Receptions
Projection: 2.65
Book: FanDuel
Bet: Under (-108)
Notes: We bet Edwards’ under last week, won and are coming back to the well. And we do so for one reason: Edwards continues to have the worst separation among WRs in the NFL. Meanwhile, the Eagles are softer against TEs than WRs, which means the game script could allow for even fewer WR targets.
Wager: 1 unit

Miles Sanders Under Rushing Yards
Line: 64.5
Projection: 59.6
Book: MyBookie
Bet: Under (-114)
Notes: Sanders has topped 64 yards once all season and has gone under his sportsbook total 4 out of 6 times. A fast start by the Raiders would all but shut the door on any path to this over.
Wager: 1 unit

2021 Recommended-Wager Record: 10-8

Twitter: @TravisGilkeson